volatile Cocoa Prices creates uncertainty

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Have you noticed the chocolate becoming more expensive? Not always as a higher price tag, but as something sneakier: A chocolate bar that looks the same. yet feels lighter. A bag that costs the same. but holds fewer pieces. The definition of shrinkflation. 

The underlying issue here is that cocoa is a risk commodity, and thereby a shaky ingredient.

  • From deforestation and low farmer incomes to child labour. Most cocoa is grown by smallholders, often in areas under pressure from climate change and crop diseases. During 2024 prices increased sharply, totaling 168% over the full year, due to poor harvests because of extreme weather. Last year, prices dropped, but the underlying pressure is still there, making the situation very volatile.  

    For us at Reitan Convenience, cocoa products, especially chocolate bars, bakery products and chocolate drinks, are staples. These items are highly favoured by customers and play a crucial role in our product assortment. Therefore, we need to ensure that we can keep offering these kinds of products. And since the sustainability challenges surrounding cocoa production raise significant concerns, both the social and environmental aspects of cocoa farming need to be addressed to ensure that these popular products remain viable in the long term.

    Most of the world’s cocoa is grown in West Africa, specifically in Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana. These regions are also among some of the poorest in the world, where cocoa farming is a livelihood for many, yet often fails to provide economic stability. Cocoa farmers are economically marginalised due to low prices, lack of infrastructure, and limited access to education and healthcare. These systemic issues not only perpetuate poverty among farming communities but also threaten the sustainability of cocoa production. When farmers are unable to make a living, the long-term viability of the industry itself is at risk.

     

    What does all this mean for Reitan Convenience? 

    1. We believe that the climate-induced volatility in the cocoa industry will remain, and this is a commodity that we believe will be associated with increasing sourcing risks

    2. We are aware of the fact that cocoa production also faces persistent and significant socio-economic issues, including risk of exploitation and child labour. Despite large efforts in the cocoa industry to address these issues, large problems remain. 

    3. We acknowledge that sustainability programs and certifications intended to ensure ethical sourcing can be inadequate and confusing, despite good intentions. Often these programs measure efforts made to drive positive change, rather than the actual results. It easily becomes a tick-box exercise with a risk of giving a false sense of progress.

    4. Therefore, our strategy to cocoa both involves reducing our overall dependency - supporting innovations like cocoa substitutes and other solutions, but also working close together with our suppliers to improve traceability and support more sustainable farming systems. The goal is to ensure that the cocoa that is sourced for our products comes from programmes and certification schemes focusing on genuine improvements in labour practices and environmental impact. We expect an active work towards living income and strict regulation of pesticide use. 

     

    QnA:

    What are the main social risks involved in cocoa production? 

    The main social risks include child labour, forced labour, and economic marginalisation of cocoa farmers. Many cocoa farmers in West Africa work under poor conditions with low wages, perpetuating cycles of poverty and inequality. Child labour remains a serious issue, with millions of children involved in hazardous work on cocoa farms.

    How does cocoa farming impact the environment? 

    Cocoa farming contributes to deforestation, particularly in West Africa, where cocoa farms often encroach on protected forest areas. This leads to a loss of biodiversity and exacerbates climate change. Additionally, cocoa plants are vulnerable to changes in climate, making cocoa farming increasingly unsustainable in the face of rising global temperatures and erratic weather patterns.

    Why is it important to move beyond reliance on certifications? 

    Relying solely on certifications can create a false sense of security, as they may not address all aspects of sustainability. It is essential to also look beyond existing certifications and address the root causes of issues like poverty, child labour, and environmental degradation.

     

    For an independent deep-dive into the cocoa industry, you can look at these publications 

    https://voicenetwork.cc/app/uploads/2025/10/2025-Cocoa-Barometer-1.pdf

    https://www.chocolatescorecard.com/

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